Houston will be high on confidence after their Open Cup victory in the week, especially when considering Baird managed to score a hat-trick - something that could help take the goalscoring burden off Bassi.
Austin will be desperate to get back to winning ways after being knocked out of the cup in midweek, but we envisage a tricky Saturday at Shell Energy Stadium for the Verde and Black.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
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