SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.44% ( -1.42) | 23.18% ( 0.4) | 20.39% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% ( -0.3) | 47.96% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( -0.27) | 70.14% ( 0.27) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.6) | 16.79% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( -1.08) | 46.75% ( 1.08) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% ( 0.92) | 37.78% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( 0.88) | 74.56% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.39% |
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