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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
54.74% ( 0.66) | 20.92% ( -0.11) | 24.33% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 65.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0.04) | 32.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.47% ( -0.04) | 54.53% ( 0.04) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.18) | 12.17% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( 0.37) | 37.8% ( -0.37) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.42) | 25.83% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.57) | 60.79% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.33% |
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