SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
34.69% ( 0.73) | 24.96% ( 0.24) | 40.35% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.94) | 45.71% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.9) | 68.03% ( 0.9) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0.02) | 60.46% ( 0.02) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.88) | 22.56% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( -1.32) | 56.15% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
