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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
55.01% ( 0.23) | 23.47% ( -0.08) | 21.51% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( 0.14) | 47.84% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.13) | 70.02% ( -0.13) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.13) | 17.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( 0.24) | 47.57% ( -0.24) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.07) | 36.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.07) | 73.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.51% |
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