Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 84.75%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 4.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.93%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.
