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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
13.88% ( -0.74) | 19.32% ( -0.24) | 66.8% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.57) | 42.35% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -0.57) | 64.75% ( 0.57) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( -1.42) | 42.37% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( -1.24) | 78.76% ( 1.24) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( 0.1) | 11.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.06% ( 0.22) | 36.94% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.88% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.32% | 0-2 @ 11.41% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 8.14% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.36% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.87% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 66.78% |
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