SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
61.83% ( -0.15) | 20.61% ( 0.09) | 17.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( -0.31) | 40.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( -0.32) | 63.33% ( 0.32) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( -0.14) | 12.73% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.03% ( -0.29) | 38.97% ( 0.29) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.12) | 36.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( -0.12) | 73.55% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 61.83% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.56% |
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