SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
69.99% ( 0.02) | 18.82% ( 0.02) | 11.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -0.21) | 46.71% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -0.2) | 68.97% ( 0.2) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( -0.06) | 12.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.24% ( -0.12) | 37.76% ( 0.11) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.22) | 49.55% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.65% ( -0.15) | 84.34% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 69.99% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.82% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.18% |
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