SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
58.18% ( -0.07) | 22.97% ( 0.09) | 18.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.42) | 49.14% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( -0.38) | 71.21% ( 0.37) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.17) | 16.6% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -0.31) | 46.41% ( 0.3) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.27) | 40.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( -0.25) | 76.77% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
