SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
66.23% ( 0.03) | 20.09% ( -0.01) | 13.68% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( 0.04) | 46.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.04) | 68.48% ( -0.04) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( 0.02) | 13.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.34% ( 0.04) | 39.66% ( -0.04) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.01) | 45.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.01% ( 0.01) | 80.99% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-0 @ 12.19% 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.09% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.68% |
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