SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Bala Town |
25.99% ( 0.12) | 23.36% ( -0.19) | 50.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.97) | 42.82% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( 0.96) | 65.23% ( -0.96) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.61) | 29.94% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.73) | 66.05% ( -0.73) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( 0.39) | 17.01% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% ( 0.68) | 47.13% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.65% |
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