SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
44.88% ( -0.13) | 25.9% ( 0.01) | 29.22% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( 0.03) | 51.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( 0.03) | 73.43% ( -0.03) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.05) | 22.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( -0.07) | 56.72% ( 0.07) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.1) | 32.12% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( 0.12) | 68.59% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.87% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.22% |
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