SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Pen-y-Bont | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Bala Town | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest County | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Bala Town |
23.68% ( -0.58) | 24.38% ( 0.09) | 51.94% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.93) | 49.34% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.85) | 71.39% ( 0.84) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -1.03) | 35.39% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -1.08) | 72.15% ( 1.08) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.16) | 18.97% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.28) | 50.51% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.68% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.93% |
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