Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
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