SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cardiff MU | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cardiff MU | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
23.38% ( -1.56) | 27.28% ( -0.11) | 49.34% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.7% ( -0.68) | 60.3% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( -0.52) | 80.47% ( 0.52) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( -1.86) | 41.81% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( -1.66) | 78.27% ( 1.67) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.49) | 24.61% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( 0.68) | 59.12% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.16% Total : 23.38% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 14.42% ( 0.56) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.53)1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.24% Total : 49.33% |
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