Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MU	Draw	The New Saints
23.38% ( -1.56)	27.28% ( -0.11)	49.34% ( 1.67)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.7% (

-0.68)

60.3% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53% (

-0.52)

80.47% (

0.52)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.18% (

-1.86)

41.81% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72% (

-1.66)

78.27% (

1.67)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.49)

24.61% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

0.68)

59.12% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Cardiff MU 23.38%

The New Saints 49.33%

Draw 27.28%

Cardiff MU	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.16% Total : 23.38%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 14.42% ( 0.56) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 49.33%