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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
NL

Bala Town
3 - 0
Newtown

Edwards (30'), Shannon (32'), Nalatche Mendes (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hughes (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Flint Town
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
51.42% (2.742 2.74) 24.67% (-0.243 -0.24) 23.9% (-2.497 -2.5)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-1.675 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-1.033 -1.03)50.31% (1.038 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.924 -0.92)72.25% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.71799999999999 0.72)19.55% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (1.154 1.15)51.47% (-1.151 -1.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-2.678 -2.68)35.72% (2.682 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-2.862 -2.86)72.49% (2.864 2.86)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 51.42%
    Newtown AFC 23.9%
    Draw 24.67%
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.71 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.772 0.77)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.521 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.253 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.42%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Bala Town
Sunday, August 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Sligo 0-1 Bala Town (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Sligo
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Bala Town
Monday, April 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Flint Town
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 New Saints
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Torshavn (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torshavn 1-0 Newtown
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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