SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
42.71% ( -0.07) | 26.48% ( -0.13) | 30.81% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.61) | 53.27% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( 0.52) | 74.82% ( -0.52) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.24) | 24.71% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( 0.33) | 59.26% ( -0.34) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.46) | 31.8% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( 0.52) | 68.24% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.81% |
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