SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
54.36% ( -0.56) | 24.52% ( 0.39) | 21.11% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -1.35) | 52.52% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -1.17) | 74.18% ( 1.17) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( -0.73) | 19.25% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.04% ( -1.21) | 50.96% ( 1.21) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.6) | 39.63% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( -0.56) | 76.32% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.11% |
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