Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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