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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
37.71% ( -0.12) | 27.97% ( 0.03) | 34.32% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% ( -0.1) | 58.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( -0.08) | 78.87% ( 0.08) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.12) | 29.8% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% ( -0.15) | 65.88% ( 0.15) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( 0.01) | 31.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 0.01) | 68.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.31% |
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