SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
24.39% ( -1) | 24.15% ( -0.22) | 51.46% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( 0.05) | 47.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( 0.04) | 69.92% ( -0.04) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( -0.82) | 33.88% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( -0.9) | 70.55% ( 0.89) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.5) | 18.54% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( 0.83) | 49.79% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.39% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.45% |
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