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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 83.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 4-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
83.46% ( 0.21) | 10.8% ( -0.1) | 5.74% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.05) | 26.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.07) | 47.05% ( 0.06) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.41% ( 0.03) | 4.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.28% ( 0.08) | 18.72% ( -0.08) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.92% ( -0.42) | 48.08% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.71% ( -0.31) | 83.29% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 3-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.48% Total : 83.46% | 1-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 10.8% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 5.74% |
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