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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Newtown AFC |
32.44% ( 0.01) | 25.64% ( 0) | 41.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.01) | 49.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( -0.01) | 71.34% ( 0.01) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% | 64.52% |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( -0.01) | 23.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( -0.01) | 57.31% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.44% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.92% |
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