SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
53.71% ( -0.06) | 23.27% ( -0) | 23.03% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( 0.07) | 45.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( 0.07) | 67.6% ( -0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0) | 16.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.01) | 46.75% ( -0) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.1) | 33.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0.11) | 70.38% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.03% |
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