SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
46.67% ( 0.34) | 22.04% ( 0.02) | 31.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 67.05% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.3) | 32.84% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.46% ( -0.35) | 54.54% ( 0.35) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.01) | 14.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.11% ( 0.01) | 42.89% ( -0.01) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.34) | 21.39% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( -0.54) | 54.38% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 31.29% |
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