SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
43.83% ( -2.97) | 23.33% ( 0.23) | 32.83% ( 2.74) |
| Both teams to score 62.96% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.18) | 38.5% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0.19) | 60.79% ( -0.19) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -1.1) | 17.97% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( -1.91) | 48.81% ( 1.91) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 1.72) | 23.24% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( 2.45) | 57.15% ( -2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.25)Other @ 3.81% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.83% |
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