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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
57.21% ( -0.75) | 22.14% ( 0.22) | 20.65% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( -0.25) | 43.15% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -0.25) | 65.55% ( 0.25) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.33) | 14.86% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.81% ( -0.62) | 43.19% ( 0.62) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.38) | 34.78% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( 0.4) | 71.51% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 20.65% |
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