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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road
BT

Colwyn Bay
2 - 3
Bala Town

Akpan (79', 87' pen.)
Owens (27'), McCready (30'), McKinley (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arsan (11'), Newell (21'), White (70')
Shannon (18'), Malkin (32'), Smith (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 16 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawBala Town
28.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 23.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 47.42% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.29% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)42.39% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.080000000000005 0.08)64.79% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.079000000000008 0.08)27.64% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.104 0.1)63.18% (-0.107 -0.11)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.012 0.01)18.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.022000000000006 0.02)48.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 28.85%
    Bala Town 47.42%
    Draw 23.72%
Colwyn BayDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.29%
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.42%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Connah's Quay
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 16 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Bala Town
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Bala Town
Saturday, October 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League


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