SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
24.15% ( -0.46) | 21.92% ( 0.14) | 53.93% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.19% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -1.17) | 37.91% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -1.26) | 60.17% ( 1.26) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -1) | 28.75% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( -1.26) | 64.59% ( 1.26) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0.3) | 14.12% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.23% ( -0.59) | 41.77% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.15% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.93% |
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