SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
45.79% ( -0.14) | 23.19% ( 0.02) | 31.01% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( -0.03) | 38.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.03) | 60.95% ( 0.02) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( -0.06) | 17.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( -0.11) | 47.57% ( 0.11) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.06) | 24.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( 0.08) | 58.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.01% |
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