SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
43.82% ( 0.11) | 24.4% ( 0.02) | 31.77% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.13) | 44% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.13) | 66.38% ( 0.12) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( -0.01) | 20.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( -0.01) | 52.53% ( 0.01) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.14) | 26.53% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.19) | 61.73% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
