SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.27% ( -0.14) | 18.34% ( 0.04) | 13.38% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.04% ( 0.05) | 38.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.72% ( 0.06) | 61.28% ( -0.05) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( -0.02) | 10.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.01% ( -0.05) | 33.99% ( 0.05) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.19) | 40.96% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% ( 0.17) | 77.52% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.49% Total : 68.27% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.38% |
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