SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
34.59% ( -0) | 24.48% ( 0) | 40.92% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.03) | 43.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( -0.03) | 65.93% ( 0.03) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.02) | 24.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -0.02) | 59.13% ( 0.02) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.02) | 21.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.69% ( -0.02) | 54.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.92% |
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