SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 0-3 (12.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
6.37% ( 1) | 14.37% ( 1.18) | 79.26% ( -2.18) |
| Both teams to score 38.16% ( 1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( -1.1) | 42.82% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( -1.1) | 65.22% ( 1.1) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.81% ( 2.48) | 58.19% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.3% ( 1.29) | 89.7% ( -1.29) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.25% ( -0.76) | 8.75% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.94% ( -1.88) | 30.06% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.29)Other @ 1.79% Total : 6.37% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.28)Other @ 0.35% Total : 14.37% | 0-2 @ 15.1% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 12.26% ( -0.77)1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.45)0-4 @ 7.47% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 3.64% ( -0.52)1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.17)0-6 @ 1.48% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 79.24% |
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