SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 82.06%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.76%) and 0-1 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-0 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
5.39% ( 0.19) | 12.56% ( 0.23) | 82.06% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.25) | 38.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( -0.27) | 60.71% ( 0.27) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.67% ( 0.47) | 58.33% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.23% ( 0.25) | 89.77% ( -0.25) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% ( -0.14) | 7.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.03% ( -0.37) | 25.97% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.55% Total : 5.39% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.37% Total : 12.56% | 0-2 @ 14.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 12.76% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 8.43% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 4.45% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 82.04% |
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