SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
39.94% ( 0.62) | 25.57% ( 0.08) | 34.49% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.48) | 48.49% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.44) | 70.61% ( 0.43) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.11) | 23.99% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.15) | 58.24% ( -0.16) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.65) | 27.02% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -0.86) | 62.38% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.49% |
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