SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
32.56% ( -0.33) | 26.03% ( 0.21) | 41.4% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% ( -0.97) | 50.9% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( -0.86) | 72.77% ( 0.86) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.69) | 29.41% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.86) | 65.4% ( 0.85) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.38) | 24.32% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -0.53) | 58.7% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
