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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (81' pen.)
Evans (55'), Owen (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (65')
Wilde (42'), Kenny (55'), Stratulis (72'), Stratulis (73'), Morris (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
25.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.71% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.287 0.29)51.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.25 0.25)73.32% (-0.247 -0.25)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.14700000000001 0.15)34.64% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.154 0.15)71.37% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)21.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.24 0.24)54.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 25.91%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.71%
    Draw 25.38%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.91%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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