SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
46.56% ( -0.01) | 27.68% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.91% ( 0.05) | 60.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.7% ( 0.04) | 80.3% ( -0.04) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.02) | 25.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( 0.03) | 60.83% ( -0.03) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( 0.05) | 39.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( 0.04) | 76.17% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.76% |
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