SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
41.71% ( 0.1) | 24.89% ( -0.09) | 33.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.4) | 45.72% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.37) | 68.04% ( -0.38) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( 0.22) | 21.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( 0.33) | 55.17% ( -0.33) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.18) | 26.36% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.25) | 61.5% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.4% |
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