SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Flint Town United |
50.89% ( -3.59) | 24.36% ( 0.66) | 24.75% ( 2.94) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( 1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.19) | 48.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0.17) | 70.42% ( -0.16) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -1.3) | 18.97% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -2.21) | 50.51% ( 2.21) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 2.77) | 33.86% ( -2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 2.89) | 70.53% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.85)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.7)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.75% |
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