SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Cardiff MU |
44.77% ( 3.59) | 25.9% ( -0.17) | 29.33% ( -3.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.54) | 51.57% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( -0.47) | 73.36% ( 0.47) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 1.53) | 22.96% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 2.2) | 56.75% ( -2.2) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -2.63) | 31.99% ( 2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( -3.11) | 68.45% ( 3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.84)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.58)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.63)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.39)Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.33% |
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