SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
41.89% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 33.14% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.07) | 46.14% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.07) | 68.44% ( -0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -0.02) | 22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( -0.03) | 55.31% ( 0.02) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.1) | 26.72% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( 0.14) | 61.98% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.14% |
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