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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
32.56% ( -0.12) | 24.25% ( 0) | 43.19% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.05) | 43.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.04) | 65.41% ( 0.04) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.09) | 25.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( -0.12) | 60.43% ( 0.12) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.03) | 20.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( 0.05) | 52.33% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.19% |
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