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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
62.1% ( -0.5) | 21.88% ( 0.23) | 16.02% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.45) | 49.11% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( -0.41) | 71.18% ( 0.41) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.31) | 15.27% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( -0.58) | 43.97% ( 0.58) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.09) | 43.55% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.25% ( 0.07) | 79.75% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.02% |
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