Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Newtown AFC
33.63%	25.54%	40.83%

Both teams to score 55.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48%

48.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36%

70.64%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91%

63.08%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45%

23.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39%

57.6%

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 33.63%

Newtown AFC 40.83%

Draw 25.53%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Newtown AFC
1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.63%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83%