Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
