SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 33 | -4 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 32 | 60 | 80 |
| 2 | Bala Town | 32 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 2-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
| 11.21% | 15.84% | 72.95% |
| Both teams to score 55.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% | 40.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% | 76.69% |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.3% | 7.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 3.31% 1-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.3% 2-0 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.21% | 1-1 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.25% 0-0 @ 3.08% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.84% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-3 @ 8.67% 1-3 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.9% 0-4 @ 5.56% 1-4 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.85% 1-5 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.33% 0-6 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 1.2% 1-6 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.44% Total : 72.94% |
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