SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
42.97% ( 0) | 24.65% | 32.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.01) | 44.92% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( -0.01) | 67.27% ( 0.01) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0) | 20.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( -0) | 53.74% ( -0) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.01) | 26.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.01) | 61.82% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-1 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.38% |
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